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Mid-Day Minute for Mon November 9th 2009 RSS

Mon November 9th 2009
Oil in Bullish Pattern, though Comparison to Dollar Warrants Caution
by Mike Paulenoff, www.MPTrader.com

Although oil prices are up about $1/bbl this morning, given the juxtaposition of the dollar index pressing against its October low (see our comparison chart of oil and the dollar), a holder of long positions in oil and the US Oil Fund ETF (NYSE: USO) could be disappointed. That said, I am also mindful of the fact that Friday's weakness can be construed as a successful test of critical support at $76.55, and as long as $76.55 contains any forthcoming weakness, the near-term pattern in oil argues that a three-week bull flag should thrust to the upside in the upcoming sessions – towards a target of $86-$88.

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