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By Mike Paulenoff, www.MPTrader.com
Oil is closing in on $40.00 and perhaps on the way to $37.50 amidst an increasingly acute oversold condition. The trendline created by connecting the two major rally peaks between September 2000 ($37.89) and February 2003 ($39.99) cuts across the price axis at 46.00-43.50. As the chart shows, a sustained break of 43.50 points to the $37.50 area next. Where will it finally find that acutely oversold, extreme downside price level? I don't know, but my pattern work off of the July high at $147.27 warns that it is approaching fast, a potential opportunity for ETF traders of the US Oil Fund (AMEX: USO).
Mike Paulenoff is author of www.MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking. Sign up for a Free 15-day Trial!
