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MIKE PAULENOFF'S ETF TRADING DIARY

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Mid-Day Minute for Mon May 5th 2008 RSS

Mon May 5th 2008
SDS in Declining Wedge Prior to Upmove
by Mike Paulenoff, www.MPTrader.comSDS in Declining Wedge Prior to Upmove
By Mike Paulenoff, www.MPTrader.com

All of the action in the SDS off of the March high appears to have taken the form of a "declining wedge" pattern, which attempted to break to the downside last Friday, but could not sustain the breakdown into new low ground. Instead, the price structure has clawed its way back above the lower wedge boundary line prior to what my work argues should be a "violent" upmove that propels the SDS to test the upper boundary line of the wedge pattern, now in the vicinity of 58.00/25. Should the SDS hurdle and sustain above 58.25, then the declining wedge pattern will be complete, and the price structure will confirm that it is in the midst of a potent recovery raly period that projects to 61.00-62.00. For the time beint, the SDS has more work to do, but already is giving initial indications that the March-April downleg is complete.

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