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By Mike Paulenoff, www.MPTrader.com
Purely from a near-term technical perspective, today's geo-political "strength" in crude oil and its ETF the US Oil Trust (AMEX: USO) has the look of a minor recovery bounce rather than the start of a new upleg in the aftermath of the $6 and 5.5% decline since the July 2 high of 117.94 in the USO (to yesterday's reaction low at $111.63). If the upmove does turn out to be "just a bounce," then we should expect the USO to head still lower into a full-fledged test of its 15-month support line, now at 108.80. The inability of oil prices to climb in reaction to big drawdown inventories this morning suggests strongly that prices are in the grasp of a significant downside correction that is not yet complete.
Mike Paulenoff is author of www.MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking. Sign up for a Free 15-day Trial!
