Financials Looking Stronger
By Mike Paulenoff,
www.MPTrader.com
An interesting technical situation continues to develop in the XLF.
Let's notice that last Wed.'s low at 22.33 not only hit and held at
the lower channel support line, it also represented a potentially
important secondary low within a March-June Double Bottom
formation, the first low of which occurred during the Bear Stearns
debacle, at 22.21 on 3/17. In addition, in the aftermath of last
Wed.'s low at 22.33, the XLF has since clawed its way across
the price channel to test the upper resistance line at 23.75,
which for the time being has contained the rally effort. From a
near term technical perspective, the XLF must hurdle and
sustain above 23.75 to trigger more important initial buy signals,
which also will strengthen the likelihood that that last week's low
indeed, was the second low of a developing powerful Double
Bottom formation. For now, however, we must wait for more
"data ponits" (price action) before concluding that a significant
low was established last week. The action could take the form of
backing and filling into a retest of 22.50/30, or the XLF could just
move sideways ahead of a thrust above 23.75. In either case,
my overall technical work in the XLF strengthened considerably.