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Forces of Deflation Remain Strong as Oil Gives Back Gains


Forces of Deflation Remain Strong as Oil Gives Back Gains
By Mike Paulenoff, www.MPTrader.com

Wow, the US Oil Fund ETF (NYSE: USO) gave back all its gains from earlier this morning, which means the USO declined nearly 7% since its pre-opening up-gap. What this tells us (perhaps) is that Mid-East hostilities and saber rattling or not, it is unlikely that the crude oil complex will put in a "V" bottom. Instead, today's profile argues that the forces of deflation remain powerful, and that geopolitical events remain a secondary force -- not the primary one. If that proves to be the case, it tells me two things: 1) that we still need to "take trades" in the USO (take profits on significant near-term moves), and 2) that a non-"V" bottom likely will be carved out, which means we should expect a multi-week trading range between 32.00 and 27.50 to form prior to a sustained recovery bull move.

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