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Ahead of Yellen's Testimony a Look at 10-Year Yield vs Gold


As we head towards Tuesday's Fed Chair testimony on Capitol Hill, let's notice that 10-year Yield has reversed from pushing up against key near-term resistance at 2.14% towards a test of key near-term support at 2.05%, which if violated and sustained, should trigger downside follow-through into my optimal-target support zone of 2.00% to 1.95%-- prior to my expectation of the start of a new upleg.

Meanwhile, if all of the near-term digestion/corrective action in Yield off of its Feb 18 high at 2.16% was expected to elicit an opposite reaction from spot Gold (based on the inverse relationship since the start of 2015), well, this time is a bit different: Gold has carved out a sideways range at best since Feb 18.

That said, however, the intraday action off of today's low at $1191.10 exhibits constructive form so far.

As long as $1191.10 remains a viable low, my bias is for the emergence of strength later today that challenges today's intraday high at $1210.68-- heading into "Testimony Tuesday."

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