Bottom for CAT?

My intermediate-term pattern work in Caterpillar (CAT) off of the March 2009 low at 21.71 into the May 2011 high at 118.00 indicates that after a correction, a new upleg should emerge that propels CAT to new bull market highs projected into the 125 area.

The enclosed 4-hour chart shows the correction from May into the mid-June low at 94.21, followed by the initial upmove in a new upleg that peaked at 114.05 on 7/22.  Current weakness that has pressed CAT into today's low should be the conclusion of the correction of the June-July advance, after which another upmove should emerge that initiates the next powerful rally. So far, the correction has a low of 101.10, which has the right characteristics of an emotional, momentum low.

That said, at this time I cannot rule out a retest and marginal breach of 101.10 prior to the anticipated resumption of strength. Conversely, a climb that sustains above 103.20 will trigger initial confirmation that a significant low has been established.

  • Action-Oriented Trade Set-Ups in Stocks & ETFs
  • Macro Analysis of the Broader Markets
  • Detailed Technical Guidance for each Trading Idea
  • Live Interaction w/ Mike & Our Member Community
  • And Much, Much More!
Join Now! - Special Offer!
Veteran Wall Street analyst and financial author, Mike provides detailed and timely analysis and trade set-ups on a range of markets. Read more...

Have Mike's “Out Front” morning analysis delivered FREE to your email inbox twice weekly!