Bull Flag for Silver

After a bumpy start, the iShares Silver Trust (NYSE: SLV) long position is recovering in sympathy with the climb in gold prices today, which itself is a reflection of continued weakness in the US dollar. Purely from a technical perspective, the SLV has established a bouble bottom corrective low around 15.60. The upmove off of 15.60/65 has just started and represents the basing portion of a sizeable bull flag formation that should provide the launch-pad for the start of a new upleg that projects towards 18.25/75 next. At this juncture, as long as 15.60/65 contains any forthcoming weakness, the bullish scenario will remain intact. Otherwise, my micro work points to a critical confrontation with key resistance at 16.45/50, which if (when) hurdled will unleash the upside potential of the anticipated new upleg. MJP 10/05/09 12:15 PM ET (16.10)

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