Bullish on Bonds - Market Analysis for Apr 23rd, 2007

I am getting very strong technical signals to be long 20 year + duration Treasury Bonds (AMEX: TLT). Why? The bottom line for me is that while persistent inflationary pressures might be a thorn in the side of Chairman Bernanke, the fragile housing sector and rising energy prices could imply a more serious (than currently expected) slowdown in the U.S. economy, which the FOMC will be compelled to cushion-- regardless of some acceleration in the rate of inflation. See my updated chart analytics of the TLTs (Lehman 20 yr T-bond ETF), which we notice is poised to record a key upside reversal today...