Buying the Japan ETF Versus Singapore
This chart shows the dfferential between
the iShares MSCI Japan Index (AMEX: EWJ) and iShares MSCI Singapore Index (AMEX: EWS) -- Japan minus Singapore.
From May into Feb., the Singapore market
rocketed (EWS) in relation to the Japanese
market (EWJ), which reduced the premium
of the EWJ to roughly $2/share from $6.
During the past couple of weeks, however,
the EWJ has performed better than the EWS,
which has lifted the EWJ premium to $3.22
from $2.06. My technical work (and my per-
ceptions of the relative fundamentals)
argue that the EWJ will continue to outperform
the EWS (in either direction), and will expand
the premium to $4.25-$4.50 in the upcoming
days-- on the way to $6.00 thereafter. It is with
this in mind, that I enter an equal dollar spread
position, long the EWJ vs. short the EWS...
MJP 3/05/07 1:30 PM ET
EWJ: 14.28; EWS 11.03 = $3.25