SMH Grinds Higher - Market Analysis for Sep 21st, 2007

The Semiconductor HOLDRs ETF (AMEX: SMH) continues to carve out a rounded base-like pattern since late July, which resembles an inverted head-and-shoulders. Today's upside continuation off of Monday's pivot low at 36.80 has pushed prices towards the neckline resistance plateau between 38.80-39.10, which if hurdled and sustained, should trigger acceleration towards 40.50-42.00. At this juncture, only a plunge that breaks 37.90 will begin to compromise the developing pattern.