Warning Signal for Natural Gas ETF

Time to take another peak at the U.S. Natural Gas Fund ETF (NYSE: UNG), which is up nearly 40% in the past several sessions (see, every dog has its day!)....

Let’s notice that this morning’s new recovery high in the UNG at 17.47 was accompanied by a glaring negative RSI divergence, which is a major warning signal to me that the upmove from the late-April double bottom at 12.69 likely ended at 17.47 (+38%).  My near-term pattern work also warns me that the form of the Apr-May upleg exhibits the look of completion – ahead of a corrective period that should press prices into the 15.75/25 area and possibly to the 14.50 area prior to my expectation of another powerful upleg that should propel prices above 18 into the 20.00-21.00 area thereafter.  I will be looking for entry into the long side under 16.00 in the upcoming hours/days.