Worst of Natural Gas Bear Behind Us

The natural gas inventory figures came in more or less as expected, which in this market is a victory!  Otherwise, the tame inventory data really should not be a surprise.  If we are to believe what my near and intermediate work is telling us, the worst of the gas bear market is behind us, and now we are in the arduous “base-building” phase (measured in weeks) prior to a sustainable powerful upmove.   For the time being, yesterday’s low at 12.32 followed by the climb to 12.90 so far has the right look of the intitiation of a new upleg that continues to advance from 7/13 (11.96) to 14.00 (7/23).  If my work proves correct, the U.S. Natural Gas Fund ETF (NYSE: UNG) is on the way to revisit 14.00 next.