On the morning of May 27th, just hours after Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) reported earnings, Mike Paulenoff gave this bullish assessment to MPTrader members:
"In the absence of damaging weakness beneath last eve's algo, knee-jerk spike low at 611.02, and subsequent follow-through beneath 600, my technical work remains 'friendly,' and points higher, to test the ATH at 648.57, in route to 675-680 thereafter."
The stock, which was trading at 628.30 at the time, indeed followed the 'friendly' technical path Mike discussed, embarking on a relentless climb that hit new ATHs at 706.44 this past Friday, or 12.4% above its price at Mike's alert.
Where is NVDA headed next? Early this coming week, the company makes a presentation at the Evercore ISI TMT Conference, likely touting the strong demand for its new products in gaming processor chips and servers. Is the news baked into NVDA's 290% gain off of its March 2020 low?
Technically, the 715-720 level represents the next higher target zone from where NVDA could peak, stall, and roll over into a correction. That said, in the absence of weakness that breaks key significant support at 675, confirming that NVDA has peaked and reversed into a correction, a climb above 720 will trigger upside potential to 760-800 thereafter.
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On Friday June 17, Mike Paulenoff posted an alert to MPTrader members about an emerging setup in AMZN:
AMZN is one name that pops out at me that should benefit from an initial and sustained correction in traditional energy and transportation costs. AMZN needs to climb above and sustain 110 for my work to generate a more confident technical signal, otherwise, I cannot rule out another loop down that tests and breaks key May-June support at 101.26 to 101.
Last Wednesday, prior to the official FOMC rate hike of 75 bps, Mike Paulenoffwarned MPTrader members about the likelihood of additional weakness in the beleaguered home builders, writing about the ITB (iShares US Home Construction ETF):
In that, neither my pattern work nor my intermediate-term Momentum gauges offer much technical confidence that ITB will be able to carve out a meaningful corrective basing area in and around 53.
Back on May 13, amid a thrust in the price of Crude Oil from $95/bbl to $112/bbl, Mike Paulenoff alerted MPTrader members to an actionable technical setup in energy producer PSX (Phillips 66), writing:
My work has been extremely friendly since the beginning of May, looking for PSX to break out of its 11-month corrective accumulation pattern that will trigger a thrust towards a potential target zone of 110-115.
On Thursday May 19, in the midst of some serious weakness and carnage in the retail sector that had equity market-watchers doubting the resiliency of the almighty US consumer, Mike Paulenoff turned MPTrader members attention to PARA (Paramount Global), writing:
For the past 5 months, we could make the technical argument that PARA has carved out an accumulation-base formation that attracts buyers every time the stock dips beneath 29.00. We can also make the case that every time the stock climbs above 36.
On March 11, with AAPL in a month-long down-leg and trading at 156.34, Mike Paulenoff posted a relatively bullish analysis for MPTrader members, writing:
I am watching AAPL more closely than usual these days, as a bellwether for the health/vulnerability of the overall market.