On Target with TGT

by Mike Paulenoff
September 19, 2014 • 12:00 AM EDT
Two weeks ago, Mike added Target (TGT) as a short-term trade set-up, seeing, from a technical perspective, that the multi-month base pattern was putting increasing upward pressure on the price structure, and that, from a macro view, TGT represented a defensive play in an otherwise overbought equity market condition.
Mike noted that since its sell-off after lowering guidance on August 5, the stock had moved above its 50- and 200-day EMA's and was approaching a key resistance band. "A climb through the resistance will confirm the breakout from a 10-month base formation that will project towards a 70 target zone in the weeks thereafter."
Trading at 61.06 at the time, Target (TGT) has since rallied 5% to a high of 64.65 on Thursday September 18.
See Mike's latest chart on Target below.
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
More Top Calls From Mike
Thirty minutes after the opening bell on November 24, 2025, I posted the following heads-up to MPTrader members about the technical setup in META:META has the right technical look of a significant U-Turn to the upside after completing a 27% August-November correction from 796.25 (8/15/25) to 580.32 (11/21/25)... To gain more powerful upside traction, META needs to climb and sustain above nearest-term resistance at 614.70 to 616.50, which if (when) taken out, will open a higher price pathway to the 670 area to challenge the down-sloping 200 DMA... Last is 609.27...
Last Friday morning, to calm frazzled nerves amid a 1% pre-market plunge that was threatening to complete a 100% give back of the prior week's 3.
Late on Friday, fellow MPTrader member MarkinQueens exclaimed: Mike's XOM (Exxon Mobil) chart from August is working! Last $117.26!Back on August 25th, this is what we discussed about Crude Oil and XOM:Just in case anyone is wondering what the chart of nearby Crude Oil is looking like as we approach the "official" end of summer.
On August 12, 2025, this was my response to an inquiry from an MPTrader member about intense weakness impacting SMR (NuScale Power Corp):SMR (NuScale Power)-- Fellow member Irv66 asked for an update on this modular nuclear reactor manufacturer that blasted-off from 11.08 in early April to 53.50 at the end of July (+382%), but has since been in the grasp of a major correction from 53.50 to 38.33 (-28.6%). My pattern work argues that SMR is nearing key support from 37.50 down to 33.
ARKK (ARK Innovation Fund, ETF)-- Back on August 20, 2025, this is what we discussed about ARKK:Fellow member Pawel has requested an update on Cathie Wood's fund, which in June thrust up and out of a 3-1/2 year base-accumulation period and pattern above 68.40/50 that subsequently climbed to my initial target in the vicinity of 80 (see my attached Daily Chart). Since the 7/21/25 high at 79.