100% Gain in 24 Hours
by Mike Paulenoff
April 8, 2016 • 12:00 AM EDT
On Monday April 4, Mike noted in the room that the US Oil Fund ETF (USO) should hold key support at 9.25-9.00 given that its larger pattern represents an incomplete medium term recovery rally arguing for another up-leg towards 12.
On Tuesday, he got into the USO Apr. 8th 9.00 Calls at 27 cents, looking to take advantage of a technical bounce in the USO in reaction to Wednesday's EIA Oil Inventory Report.
Sure enough, the USO bottomed right at 8.99 on Tuesday, reaching above 10 intraday on Friday. Although Thursday's EIA Report would subsequently show a neutral/bearish weekly build in oil supplies, Mike's interpretation of the promising technical set up earlier in the week anticipated strong price action into, and a positive reaction after, the release of the data.
Mike exited the calls on Wednesday at 55 cents, for a 100% gain in 24 hours.
The USO trade was one of several strong trades for Mike since the start of the month. He exited the Silver Wheaton (SLW) puts on April 1 for a +200% gain in 1 day, and the SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI) on April 6 for a gain of 10% in 2 weeks, displaying trading accuracy across a number of markets: Oil, Metals and Biotech.
Plus, Mike exited his Visa (V) and Raytheon Company (RTN) trades this week for 2% nominal gains, with only Nike (NKE) incurring a nominal loss after a 3.8% gain from a prior long position from March 14-18.
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
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More Top Calls From Mike
On March 8th, when XLI was trading at 95.88, this is what Mike Paulenoff discussed with our MPTrader Members about the S&P Industrial SPDR ETF:
"In addition to the XLB (Materials SPDR), another vehicle (arguably a better one) to ride the infrastructure spending narrative, is via the XLI Industrial ETF.
Soliton (SOLY) rallied 37% in the weeks after Mike Paulenoff highlighted it for MPTrader members on March 10. Where's it headed next?
SOLY is a medical device/biotech company developing a promising product, with a 2-year chart setup that caught Mike's attention early in the year, suggesting sooner than later that price would reflect the underlying company fundamentals.
Early on March 10, with the stock at 13.
On Monday morning March 1, Mike Paulenoff alerted MPTrader members to a potential up-move in U.S. Steel (X):
"If an infrastructure plan really is doable early in the Biden Administration, and if the 440% upmove from the March 2020 low to the Jan. 2021 high has not discounted just about every conceivable growth scenario, then X is turning up into another upleg as we speak. As long as any forthcoming weakness is contained in the 16.40 to 15.
A biotech name closely monitored in our discussion room at MPTrader and that has been on Mike's radar since the stock's explosive upmove during the height of the Covid vaccine and therapeutic drug hype last July-August is Sorrento Therapeutics (SRNE).
Mike frequently discusses the technical set up in SRNE overlaid on related company news about developmental drugs in its pipeline, and its sizable and significant short position.
Ten days ago, on February 17, Mike Paulenoff posted a detailed analysis of the bond market for MPTrader members.
In it, Mike highlighted the "increasing fear" in the bond market, with longer-term rates projected to continue to rise, and in the "Fear Index" itself, the VIX, suggesting increased risk in the equity markets.
