100% Gain in 24 Hours
by Mike Paulenoff
April 8, 2016 • 12:00 AM EDT
On Monday April 4, Mike noted in the room that the US Oil Fund ETF (USO) should hold key support at 9.25-9.00 given that its larger pattern represents an incomplete medium term recovery rally arguing for another up-leg towards 12.
On Tuesday, he got into the USO Apr. 8th 9.00 Calls at 27 cents, looking to take advantage of a technical bounce in the USO in reaction to Wednesday's EIA Oil Inventory Report.
Sure enough, the USO bottomed right at 8.99 on Tuesday, reaching above 10 intraday on Friday. Although Thursday's EIA Report would subsequently show a neutral/bearish weekly build in oil supplies, Mike's interpretation of the promising technical set up earlier in the week anticipated strong price action into, and a positive reaction after, the release of the data.
Mike exited the calls on Wednesday at 55 cents, for a 100% gain in 24 hours.
The USO trade was one of several strong trades for Mike since the start of the month. He exited the Silver Wheaton (SLW) puts on April 1 for a +200% gain in 1 day, and the SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI) on April 6 for a gain of 10% in 2 weeks, displaying trading accuracy across a number of markets: Oil, Metals and Biotech.
Plus, Mike exited his Visa (V) and Raytheon Company (RTN) trades this week for 2% nominal gains, with only Nike (NKE) incurring a nominal loss after a 3.8% gain from a prior long position from March 14-18.
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
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More Top Calls From Mike
On April 5, Mike Paulenoff discussed the following with MPTrader members about the significant negative behavior of the equity indices in general and the SPY (SP 500 Equity Index ETF), writing:"... Yesterday's nosedive in the price action left behind a Bearish Engulfing Candle in SPY, SPX, ES, et al... My attached Big Picture Chart of SPY shows the powerful, relentless Oct-Apr. advance from 409.21 to 526.
On March 13, amid a broad discussion about the emerging bull phase developing in the precious metals and miners, Mike Paulenoff posted this about WPM (Wheaton Precious Metals) to our MPTrader discussion room:From a more Silver-Gold perspective (if FCX is perceived to be Copper-centric), let's notice that WPM strength is pushing up against its near-term resistance line in the vicinity of 45.
Right after the opening bell on the morning of October 20, 2023, Mike Paulenoff posted the following GLD (SPDR Gold Trust) commentary to our MPTrader Discussion Room:"For all of the long-suffering Gold Bugs... As we speak, GLD is attempting to take out key 5-month resistance lodged between 181.20 and 184.40, which if successful and sustained, will point GLD to 188-190 next... Last is 183.88...
During the afternoon session of February 15, this is what Mike Paulenoff posted to the MPTrader Discussion Room about the technical setup in the oil service company SLB (Schlumberger):"This name in the oil service sector exhibits a well-demarcated 4-year bullish channel with the SLB price structure upturning off of the lower boundary line in the vicinity of 47.00 (the 2/13/24 low) amid a glaring double non-confirmation of the weakness into the lower channel line.
On December 26, 2023, fellow MPTrader member FJB asked me the following question: Mike - do you feel comfortable giving some of your top sectors for next year if you have any? This was my response:In order of preference based on my technical setup work:1- XLV (Healthcare)2- XLB (Materials)3- XLE (Energy)4- XLI (Industrials)5- XLF (Financials)As of the close this past Friday, 3/15/24, YTD results showed XLV +6.58%, XLB +6.15%, XLI +7.06%, XLF +8.54%, and XLE (Energy) leading all sectors, at +9.27%.
