AAPL Reaches Our 620-30 Target Zone
Last Tuesday, May 20, I added AAPL as a long position to our model portfolio in the 605 range, noting on the chart that AAPL has not concluded its major up-leg off the April 15 low at 511.33. I wrote that that the pattern projected "into the 620-30 target zone," which AAPL conveniently matched today, closing at 625.71.
My near-term work is getting increasingly overbought, suggesting that we should be prepared for a peak and a pullback in the hours ahead, perhaps well ahead of of next Monday's WWDC Conference, where Tim Cook could announce a new product or tease consumers with a new product (beside this morning's news that the company will turn the iPhone into a remote control platform), and perhaps well ahead of the June 9th split price date.
In a perfect technical set-up I will be looking to re-enter a long position into weakness into the 605-600 area prior to another up-leg that projects to 645--660 thereafter.
See our daily chart below from May 20, followed by today's updated 4-hour chart.
More Top Calls From Mike
On Friday June 17, Mike Paulenoff posted an alert to MPTrader members about an emerging setup in AMZN:
AMZN is one name that pops out at me that should benefit from an initial and sustained correction in traditional energy and transportation costs. AMZN needs to climb above and sustain 110 for my work to generate a more confident technical signal, otherwise, I cannot rule out another loop down that tests and breaks key May-June support at 101.26 to 101.
Last Wednesday, prior to the official FOMC rate hike of 75 bps, Mike Paulenoffwarned MPTrader members about the likelihood of additional weakness in the beleaguered home builders, writing about the ITB (iShares US Home Construction ETF):
In that, neither my pattern work nor my intermediate-term Momentum gauges offer much technical confidence that ITB will be able to carve out a meaningful corrective basing area in and around 53.
Back on May 13, amid a thrust in the price of Crude Oil from $95/bbl to $112/bbl, Mike Paulenoff alerted MPTrader members to an actionable technical setup in energy producer PSX (Phillips 66), writing:
My work has been extremely friendly since the beginning of May, looking for PSX to break out of its 11-month corrective accumulation pattern that will trigger a thrust towards a potential target zone of 110-115.
On Thursday May 19, in the midst of some serious weakness and carnage in the retail sector that had equity market-watchers doubting the resiliency of the almighty US consumer, Mike Paulenoff turned MPTrader members attention to PARA (Paramount Global), writing:
For the past 5 months, we could make the technical argument that PARA has carved out an accumulation-base formation that attracts buyers every time the stock dips beneath 29.00. We can also make the case that every time the stock climbs above 36.
On March 11, with AAPL in a month-long down-leg and trading at 156.34, Mike Paulenoff posted a relatively bullish analysis for MPTrader members, writing:
I am watching AAPL more closely than usual these days, as a bellwether for the health/vulnerability of the overall market.