Anticipating AMZN's Recovery Rally

by Mike Paulenoff
September 6, 2021 • 12:00 AM EDT
On August 11, Mike Paulenoff alerted MPTrader members to a significant upside reversal signal in AMZN.
Mike wrote that "the 500 point decline is nearing downside exhaustion," noting a preferred downside target zone of 3180-3200.
Fast-forward to August 20, when AMZN pressed to a new multi-month corrective low at 3175.76.
At that point, Mike wrote: "The new corrective low was satisfied amid a stair-step pattern that has the right look of completion, multiple momentum divergences, and a Daily DeMark reading of 9 (using Combo), all of which combine to 'warn' us that at the very least, a sharp reaction rally -- or the start of a new upleg -- is approaching fast. To gain upside traction, and to imbue the chart set up with additional confidence, AMZN needs to claw its way above 3230 on a closing basis to trigger initial buy signals in my work."
AMZN indeed triggered preliminary upside reversal signals at and above 3230 on August 23, and climbed to a high of 3527 on September 1, a gain of 11% above Mike's corrective target low.
Since then AMZN has stalled and pulled back to the 3475 area.
What's next for AMZN? A deeper pullback after an 11% recovery rally, or a resumption of strength?
Join Mike and our members for intraday discussion and analysis of AMZN, as well as many other equity names, ETFs, macro indices, cryptocurrencies, and commodities.
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
More Top Calls From Mike
On July 31, 2025, with SLV (Silver ETF) trading at 33.27, this is what we discussed about my technical setup:SLV-- On the subject of tariffs, copper, and silver, Trump extended the tariff deal with Mexico for 90 days, which included steel and copper, but NO MENTION of Silver (so far). Let's notice on my attached 4-Hour chart of SLV that the week-long nosedive from 35.91 to this AM's low at 33.
On February 18, 2025, this is what I posted on MPTrader about KWEB (Chinese Internet ETF) that alerted traders to a potentially explosive setup that should keep KWEB on our radar screens going forward :My attached Daily Chart shows that KWEB is attempting to emerge from a huge, three-year rounded base-accumulation setup that projects much higher prices as the price structure climbs the "recovery wall of worry" in the aftermath of the relentless bear phase from the February 2021 ATH at 104.
On July 29, 2025, this is what we discussed about TEVA (Teva Pharma), accompanied by my then-current 4-Hour Chart, just ahead of Earnings:My attached 4-Hour Chart setup argues that TEVA is poised for upside continuation of its April-May advance (12.47 to 18.67) EITHER right from current levels in reaction to a positive Earnings Report tomorrow morning, OR into a BTD bout of weakness into the 14.85-15.55 target support window.
On the morning of August 6th, I posted the chart below after seeing Fundstrat's Tom Lee discuss his CEO position in BMNR (BitMine Immersion Technologies), and the fact that BMNR was accumulating a large cache of Ethereum (ETH) that will serve as an ETH Treasury holding similar to the Bitcoin model used by Microstrategy's Michael Saylor. At the time, BNMR had climbed from 31.85 to 33.70, which piqued my attention technically:"BNMR ... once again is putting upward pressure on the 34.
Nearly two months ago, I posted my technical setup on TMO (Thermo Fisher Scientific, Inc.) to alert MPTrader members to a potentially significant upside reversal pattern. Here is my commentary from June 3, 2025:My attached Big Picture Daily Chart shows the major bear phase from the 9/10/24 ATH at 627.88 to last week's (5/23/25) low at 390.66 (-38%). Most interestingly, all of the price action from the 4/09/25 low at 409.