Calling The Upside In Metals & Miners ETF (XME)
by Mike Paulenoff
February 20, 2022 • 12:00 AM EST
Back on January 10, Mike Paulenoff posted the following bullish chart commentary on XME (SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF) for MPTrader members:
"Anyone thinking that over the upcoming 3-5 year time horizon that 1) Oil is heading higher, creating pass-through price pressure... 2) inflation will be problematic... 3) Demand for industrial metals will be intense as the globe goes "green" ... 4) and the demand for these metals will cause shortages that put even more upward pressure on prices... should consider parking some funds in XME."
Mike added, "Technically, the 10-year Weekly Chart setup certainly indicates enormous upside potential as long as XME holds above 39 on any acute bout of selling pressure."
XME was trading at 45.48 at the time. This past week the ETF climbed to a 10-year high at 50.78, nearly 12% above Mike's initial heads-up to MPTrader members.
In the interim 5 weeks, the industrial and precious metals complex has derived buying interest from a "perfect storm" of underlying fundamental factors, such as inflationary data points, a Fed that professes to be shifting into tightening mode while still adding liquidity to the banking system, greatly heightened geopolitical risks emanating from the Russan-Ukraine crisis, and a Canadian political crackdown that US citizens would consider a declaration of Marshal Law that forces individuals to seek the "safety" of real assets in general, precious metals in particular.
XME is benefitting from the fundamental backdrop, which underpins a very powerful, multi-year upside technical breakout that projects considerably higher prices in the months ahead.
Where are the twists and turns ahead for XME?
Join Mike and MPTader members as they discuss and navigate these currently treacherous, but opportunistic markets in Mike's real-time forum. Mike is constantly updating MPTrader throughout every trading day, discussing with members technical setups and fundamentally supportive factors of ETFs, macros indices, individual stocks, cryptocurrencies, and commodities.
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
Three hours before the July Fed 31, 2024 (FOMC) meeting, I posted the following chart commentary about my technical setup work on 10-year Treasury YIELD and its actionable longer-term Treasury bond ETF, the TLT (20+ Year T-bond, ETF):Heading toward Fed Time, 10-year YIELD and TLT (20+ Year T-bond ETF) certainly appear to be anticipating lower interest rate news or innuendos from the FOMC statement (guidance) and Jay Powell in his post-meeting press conference.
On August 15, with XLV (Healthcare SPDR, ETF) approaching Mike Paulenoff's target zone (noted in an April 18th post), Mike responded to an MPTrader member's question about whether it was "time to sell and find something with more potential?" Mike wrote: "My short answer: no, it is not yet time to sell (although I will never dissuade anyone from taking profits and from ringing the cash register). My pattern and momentum work argue that upside potential extends from 156 to 161.
On August 6th, when UBER was trading 62, this is what Mike Paulenoff discussed with MPTrader members about the stock's technical setup in the immediate aftermath of the company's quarterly earnings report:"UBER... produced stellar earnings, albeit a bit light on next quarter's bookings. The stock is up 5.9% in pre-market trading within a near-term setup that argues yesterday's spike low at 53.25 ended a 35% correction off of the March high at 82.14.
At 10:45 AM ET on Friday July 26, 2 hours 15 minutes after the release of important PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditure) inflation data, this is what Mike Paulenoff discussed with MPTrader members about SPY (SPDR SP500 ETF):"If I have a concern today it is the unfilled up-gap left behind from last eve's 4 PM ET close at 538.32 to the low of the AM session so far at 541.25.
On June 24, 2024, I posted the following chart-based commentary about PFE (Pfizer, Inc) to the MPTrader discussion room:PFE (Pfizer) has the right look of a setup that is on the verge of entering a central, bullish price thrust from within a December-June rounded bottom formation. Only a failure to push up through and close above the 200 DMA, now at 28.94, followed by a decline that breaks last week's low (6/14) at 26.87 will Neutralize my currently bullish bias... Last is 28.27...