Did You Anticipate Gasoline Futures 2-Week 12% Rise?
by Mike Paulenoff
February 21, 2021 • 11:14 AM EST
Back on February 3, Mike Paulenoff highlighted the potential for a continued rise in gasoline futures.
He told MPTrader members: "Could it be that gasoline is in the eye of a perfect storm? A post-covid, accelerating US economy, a consumer flush with cash ready to jump into the car to spend in restaurants (hopefully) and travel, an Administration looking to reimpose harsh regulations on drilling, fracking, and refining, which reduces supply in an economy that will depend on fossil fuel for years to come. And if this 'Perfect Storm' progresses, won't it be inflationary, or at the least, raise inflationary expectations?"
During the subsequent two weeks, RBOB climbed relentlessly to its Feb 18 multi-year high at 1.85 (see our chart), up 12% from Mike's Feb 3 update.
This contributed to propelling the overall energy sector higher, with the XLE (S&P Select Energy SPDR ETF) up 17% and OXY (Occidental Petroleum) up 29%, two components of Energy that Mike monitors and updates frequently for members in his MPTrader Coverage List.
What's next for gasoline now that it has hurdled a resistance line that originated in October 2018 near $2.00/gallon? Will it impact the CPI, consumer behavior, and the underlying energy sector components?
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