GLD Follows Our Anticipated Upside Reversal Price Path

by Mike Paulenoff
October 29, 2023 • 3:25 PM EDT
On October 3, Mike Paulenoff posted the following "Heads Up!" about GLD (SPDR Gold Trust, ETF) for MPTrader members:
"GLD has pressed to an important technical inflection window from 169.50 down to 166.30, from where I will be expecting corrective downside exhaustion off of the 5/04/23 high at 191.36, and new buying interest. From a nearer-term perspective, given the acute oversold but CONFIRMED Momentum reading of 17.16 an hour ago, my preferred scenario argues for another loop down that marginally violates today's low at 168.74 prior to my expectation of a tradable recovery rally... Last is 169.49..."
Within the subsequent 4 trading sessions, GLD closely followed Mike's anticipated upside reversal price path, initially pressing to a lower corrective low at 167.93 -- still within his optimal downside target window from 169.50 to 166.30 -- prior to pivoting powerfully to the upside, thereafter.
In fact, GLD has never looked back from its 10/06/23 low at 167.93 into this past Friday's high at 186.36. In the 19 trading days since Mike's alert to our MPTrader members, GLD has climbed $16.87, or 10%!
What's next for GLD? Will its strength continue? Is the strength a function of a weaker US Dollar, or alternatively, a result of stubborn inflationary expectations, rapidly rising geopolitical tensions, or debt financing "gone wild?" How about a combination of all of the above?
Join Mike and MPTrader members ASAP for their continuous intraday discussions, chart analysis, and exchange of fundamental ideas on GLD, as well as on many individual stocks, sector ETFs, macro indices, commodities, and Bitcoin.
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
Every person on the planet is now aware that early on Saturday night, June 21st, 2025, the U.S. military attacked and severely damaged (destroyed?) Iran's nuclear sites and presumably their ability to produce nuclear materials needed to create a WMD.
Last Wednesday afternoon (6/11/25), with META circling 700 after establishing a 4-month new post-April 2025 recovery rally high at 708.87, this is what we discussed about the current technical setup: Just a heads up that my pattern work is warning me that the 52% upmove from the 4/07 low at 467.31 to today's (6/11) high at 708.87 has the right look of a completed, overextended, overbought, unconfirmed rally peak that leaves the price structure vulnerable to a correction of some magnitude.
On May 6, 2025, during the final hour of trading, and before AMD was scheduled to report quarterly Earnings that evening, I posted the following analysis to our MPTrader Discussion Room:AMD reports Earnings after the close... The only conviction I can derive from my pattern work is that the 4/08/25 low at 76.48, which represented a 66% correction from the March 2024 high at 227.30, has the right look of a significant low that completed a major bear phase.
On April 22, 2025, I posted the following analysis about my technical setup work in XBI (SPDR SP Biotech ETF):XBI (SPDR SP Biotech ETF)-- Could it be? Could it be that the near-40% correction from the 11/11/24 multi-year high at 105.47 to the 4/09/25 low at 66.66 fully discounted all the bad news in this sector? From a BIG Picture perspective, my attached Daily Chart shows this month's spike low into the vicinity of the previous major corrective low-zone starting in May 2022.
In the early afternoon on April 11, this was my note to our members:"IBIT (iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF)-- From a trading perspective, anyone who is in sync with the Bitcoin setup might consider owning IBIT (iShares Bitcoin ETF) against a stop below its 4/07/25 low at 42.98 (see my attached Daily Chart below)...