Getting The Jump On MPC's Rally
by Mike Paulenoff
April 3, 2022 • 6:50 PM EDT
On Monday March 21 Mike Paulenoff posted a bullish alert on MPC (Marathon Petroleum Corp) to MPTrader members, writing:
"MPC popped out of my research over the weekend largely because its technical setup argues that all of the action off of its February high at 81.39 (see my attached Daily Chart) has carved out a high-level bullish digestion period and pattern above 72.50, and if preserved, projects to a thrust into a new upleg above 81.39 towards my next optimal target zone of 88 to 92 thereafter. Today's up-gap open and climb above the prior rally peak (79.93 in 3/11) has the right look of the initiation of a new upleg. As long as any forthcoming weakness is contained above my first warnings level at 75.50, my work will remain 'very friendly' to higher prices in MPC."
MPC was trading at 79.38 at the time, and within 36 hours of Mike's post the stock was off to the races. It thrust into the anticipated new upleg that propelled prices relentlessly higher for a 10-session stretch that hit a high of 87.10 last Friday, April 1, 2022, a full 9.7% above the price when Mike issued his alert.
In Mike's MPC analysis posted this past Friday morning, he commented: "While the price of oil is under pressure, oil exploration names remain bid this AM... We see MPC indeed thrust out of a bullish Coil formation back on 3/21 and has not looked back since, climbing to a new high at 86.68 as we speak this AM, en route to my next optimal target zone of 88-92. Only a reversal and close beneath 82.60 will argue that the current upleg has peaked... Last is 86.64."
MPC is another example of Mike's actionable tactical technical signals he posts to our discussion room multiple times during trading hours every day, in addition to religiously discussing and answering member inquiries about individual stocks, macro indices, equity futures indices, ETFs, commodities, and cryptocurrencies.
Join Mike and our members for this week's idea generation that is designed to help you benefit and profit from trend analysis in the macros indices, energy, autos, financials, big technology, and much more.
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
Three hours before the July Fed 31, 2024 (FOMC) meeting, I posted the following chart commentary about my technical setup work on 10-year Treasury YIELD and its actionable longer-term Treasury bond ETF, the TLT (20+ Year T-bond, ETF):Heading toward Fed Time, 10-year YIELD and TLT (20+ Year T-bond ETF) certainly appear to be anticipating lower interest rate news or innuendos from the FOMC statement (guidance) and Jay Powell in his post-meeting press conference.
On August 15, with XLV (Healthcare SPDR, ETF) approaching Mike Paulenoff's target zone (noted in an April 18th post), Mike responded to an MPTrader member's question about whether it was "time to sell and find something with more potential?" Mike wrote: "My short answer: no, it is not yet time to sell (although I will never dissuade anyone from taking profits and from ringing the cash register). My pattern and momentum work argue that upside potential extends from 156 to 161.
On August 6th, when UBER was trading 62, this is what Mike Paulenoff discussed with MPTrader members about the stock's technical setup in the immediate aftermath of the company's quarterly earnings report:"UBER... produced stellar earnings, albeit a bit light on next quarter's bookings. The stock is up 5.9% in pre-market trading within a near-term setup that argues yesterday's spike low at 53.25 ended a 35% correction off of the March high at 82.14.
At 10:45 AM ET on Friday July 26, 2 hours 15 minutes after the release of important PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditure) inflation data, this is what Mike Paulenoff discussed with MPTrader members about SPY (SPDR SP500 ETF):"If I have a concern today it is the unfilled up-gap left behind from last eve's 4 PM ET close at 538.32 to the low of the AM session so far at 541.25.
On June 24, 2024, I posted the following chart-based commentary about PFE (Pfizer, Inc) to the MPTrader discussion room:PFE (Pfizer) has the right look of a setup that is on the verge of entering a central, bullish price thrust from within a December-June rounded bottom formation. Only a failure to push up through and close above the 200 DMA, now at 28.94, followed by a decline that breaks last week's low (6/14) at 26.87 will Neutralize my currently bullish bias... Last is 28.27...