Getting The Jump On MPC's Rally

by Mike Paulenoff
April 3, 2022 • 6:50 PM EDT
On Monday March 21 Mike Paulenoff posted a bullish alert on MPC (Marathon Petroleum Corp) to MPTrader members, writing:
"MPC popped out of my research over the weekend largely because its technical setup argues that all of the action off of its February high at 81.39 (see my attached Daily Chart) has carved out a high-level bullish digestion period and pattern above 72.50, and if preserved, projects to a thrust into a new upleg above 81.39 towards my next optimal target zone of 88 to 92 thereafter. Today's up-gap open and climb above the prior rally peak (79.93 in 3/11) has the right look of the initiation of a new upleg. As long as any forthcoming weakness is contained above my first warnings level at 75.50, my work will remain 'very friendly' to higher prices in MPC."
MPC was trading at 79.38 at the time, and within 36 hours of Mike's post the stock was off to the races. It thrust into the anticipated new upleg that propelled prices relentlessly higher for a 10-session stretch that hit a high of 87.10 last Friday, April 1, 2022, a full 9.7% above the price when Mike issued his alert.
In Mike's MPC analysis posted this past Friday morning, he commented: "While the price of oil is under pressure, oil exploration names remain bid this AM... We see MPC indeed thrust out of a bullish Coil formation back on 3/21 and has not looked back since, climbing to a new high at 86.68 as we speak this AM, en route to my next optimal target zone of 88-92. Only a reversal and close beneath 82.60 will argue that the current upleg has peaked... Last is 86.64."
MPC is another example of Mike's actionable tactical technical signals he posts to our discussion room multiple times during trading hours every day, in addition to religiously discussing and answering member inquiries about individual stocks, macro indices, equity futures indices, ETFs, commodities, and cryptocurrencies.
Join Mike and our members for this week's idea generation that is designed to help you benefit and profit from trend analysis in the macros indices, energy, autos, financials, big technology, and much more.
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
Late on Friday, fellow MPTrader member MarkinQueens exclaimed: Mike's XOM (Exxon Mobil) chart from August is working! Last $117.26!Back on August 25th, this is what we discussed about Crude Oil and XOM:Just in case anyone is wondering what the chart of nearby Crude Oil is looking like as we approach the "official" end of summer.
On August 12, 2025, this was my response to an inquiry from an MPTrader member about intense weakness impacting SMR (NuScale Power Corp):SMR (NuScale Power)-- Fellow member Irv66 asked for an update on this modular nuclear reactor manufacturer that blasted-off from 11.08 in early April to 53.50 at the end of July (+382%), but has since been in the grasp of a major correction from 53.50 to 38.33 (-28.6%). My pattern work argues that SMR is nearing key support from 37.50 down to 33.
ARKK (ARK Innovation Fund, ETF)-- Back on August 20, 2025, this is what we discussed about ARKK:Fellow member Pawel has requested an update on Cathie Wood's fund, which in June thrust up and out of a 3-1/2 year base-accumulation period and pattern above 68.40/50 that subsequently climbed to my initial target in the vicinity of 80 (see my attached Daily Chart). Since the 7/21/25 high at 79.
On July 31, 2025, with SLV (Silver ETF) trading at 33.27, this is what we discussed about my technical setup:SLV-- On the subject of tariffs, copper, and silver, Trump extended the tariff deal with Mexico for 90 days, which included steel and copper, but NO MENTION of Silver (so far). Let's notice on my attached 4-Hour chart of SLV that the week-long nosedive from 35.91 to this AM's low at 33.
On February 18, 2025, this is what I posted on MPTrader about KWEB (Chinese Internet ETF) that alerted traders to a potentially explosive setup that should keep KWEB on our radar screens going forward :My attached Daily Chart shows that KWEB is attempting to emerge from a huge, three-year rounded base-accumulation setup that projects much higher prices as the price structure climbs the "recovery wall of worry" in the aftermath of the relentless bear phase from the February 2021 ATH at 104.