Is CSCO's Setup Poised for Upside Acceleration?
by Mike Paulenoff
April 2, 2023 • 1:56 PM EDT
At the close of Q1, 2023, the big-cap technology names recorded the following very impressive 3-month gains: NVDA +90%, META +76%, TSLA +68%, CRM +50%, AAPL +27%, MSFT +21%, and GOOG +18%.
Although CSCO has lost a bit of its "sex appeal" in recent years and more often than not flies under the radar, the stock was up 10% during Q1, 2023! If its near and intermediate-term technical setup provides us with any indication of what's ahead, then CSCO should be "above the fold" on anyone's shopping list during the remainder of this year.
Indeed, back on Friday, March 24, 2023, with one week remaining in the month and in Q1, 2023, Mike Paulenoff alerted MPTrader members to his technical work in CSCO:
CSCO has been on my radar screen since mid-February just prior to earnings, and as long as any forthcoming weakness is contained above 47.90-48.00, my pattern work argues that CSCO is biding time prior to a powerful upside breakout from a near-1 year base accumulation setup that projects considerably higher later this year... Keep it in mind, even though it no longer has the cache of the mega-techs... Last is 50.32...
Fast-forward to the end of last week (3/31/23). we find CSCO at 52.40, perched right at the high for the day and for the week, up 4% from the prior Friday when Mike posted his chart work to the MPTrader Coverage List and into the MPTrader Discussion Room.
What's next for CSCO? Join Mike and our members for their ongoing intraday conversations about CSCO as well as many other investable opportunistic setups evident and emerging in individual names, ETFs, macro indices, commodities, and Bitcoin. In addition, observe, participate, and learn from their insightful discussions about economic, political, and geopolitical trends that are impacting the financial markets.
Every person on the planet is now aware that early on Saturday night, June 21st, 2025, the U.S. military attacked and severely damaged (destroyed?) Iran's nuclear sites and presumably their ability to produce nuclear materials needed to create a WMD.
Last Wednesday afternoon (6/11/25), with META circling 700 after establishing a 4-month new post-April 2025 recovery rally high at 708.87, this is what we discussed about the current technical setup: Just a heads up that my pattern work is warning me that the 52% upmove from the 4/07 low at 467.31 to today's (6/11) high at 708.87 has the right look of a completed, overextended, overbought, unconfirmed rally peak that leaves the price structure vulnerable to a correction of some magnitude.
On May 6, 2025, during the final hour of trading, and before AMD was scheduled to report quarterly Earnings that evening, I posted the following analysis to our MPTrader Discussion Room:AMD reports Earnings after the close... The only conviction I can derive from my pattern work is that the 4/08/25 low at 76.48, which represented a 66% correction from the March 2024 high at 227.30, has the right look of a significant low that completed a major bear phase.
On April 22, 2025, I posted the following analysis about my technical setup work in XBI (SPDR SP Biotech ETF):XBI (SPDR SP Biotech ETF)-- Could it be? Could it be that the near-40% correction from the 11/11/24 multi-year high at 105.47 to the 4/09/25 low at 66.66 fully discounted all the bad news in this sector? From a BIG Picture perspective, my attached Daily Chart shows this month's spike low into the vicinity of the previous major corrective low-zone starting in May 2022.
In the early afternoon on April 11, this was my note to our members:"IBIT (iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF)-- From a trading perspective, anyone who is in sync with the Bitcoin setup might consider owning IBIT (iShares Bitcoin ETF) against a stop below its 4/07/25 low at 42.98 (see my attached Daily Chart below)...