MSFT Follows Our Bullish Near-Term Technical Script

by Mike Paulenoff
January 15, 2024 • 2:01 PM EST
On Wednesday, January 10, 2024, right at the opening bell, this is what we discussed about my near-term technical setup in MSFT (Microsoft):
MSFT is about to emerge from a bullish 6-week high-level digestion period after hitting its 11/29/23 ATH at 385.50. MSFT needs to climb and sustain above 377.20/70 to trigger upside continuation that points to a retest and hurdle of 385.50, and then to 395-400 thereafter. Only a sudden sharp downside reversal that presses MSFT beneath 6-week support from 366.00 to 362.50 will wreck the setup. Last is 377.23...
Fast-forward to the price action in MSFT during the subsequent two trading days at the end of last week, we see that indeed, the stock took off to the upside upon taking out resistance at 377.20/70 and proceeded to thrust directly to a new all-time high at 390.68 the very next day (1/11/24). MSFT closed Friday at 388.47, a full 3% above my heads-up to MPTrader members on Wednesday morning.
What is the most likely price path and the growing risks for MSFT, especially with earnings approaching on 1/25/24? Join Mike and MPTrader members for their continuing discussions about the direction and risks concerning MSFT in the days leading up to earnings, as well as about other names and ETFs impacted by upcoming earnings reports, macro indices, commodities, and Bitcoin...

Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
More Top Calls From Mike
Every person on the planet is now aware that early on Saturday night, June 21st, 2025, the U.S. military attacked and severely damaged (destroyed?) Iran's nuclear sites and presumably their ability to produce nuclear materials needed to create a WMD.
Last Wednesday afternoon (6/11/25), with META circling 700 after establishing a 4-month new post-April 2025 recovery rally high at 708.87, this is what we discussed about the current technical setup: Just a heads up that my pattern work is warning me that the 52% upmove from the 4/07 low at 467.31 to today's (6/11) high at 708.87 has the right look of a completed, overextended, overbought, unconfirmed rally peak that leaves the price structure vulnerable to a correction of some magnitude.
On May 6, 2025, during the final hour of trading, and before AMD was scheduled to report quarterly Earnings that evening, I posted the following analysis to our MPTrader Discussion Room:AMD reports Earnings after the close... The only conviction I can derive from my pattern work is that the 4/08/25 low at 76.48, which represented a 66% correction from the March 2024 high at 227.30, has the right look of a significant low that completed a major bear phase.
On April 22, 2025, I posted the following analysis about my technical setup work in XBI (SPDR SP Biotech ETF):XBI (SPDR SP Biotech ETF)-- Could it be? Could it be that the near-40% correction from the 11/11/24 multi-year high at 105.47 to the 4/09/25 low at 66.66 fully discounted all the bad news in this sector? From a BIG Picture perspective, my attached Daily Chart shows this month's spike low into the vicinity of the previous major corrective low-zone starting in May 2022.
In the early afternoon on April 11, this was my note to our members:"IBIT (iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF)-- From a trading perspective, anyone who is in sync with the Bitcoin setup might consider owning IBIT (iShares Bitcoin ETF) against a stop below its 4/07/25 low at 42.98 (see my attached Daily Chart below)...