During late November into early December, Mike Paulenoff became increasingly concerned about the price behavior of Facebook (FB).
The stock not only was grossly underperforming the NDX but also was in the news constantly in an unflattering light regarding its leader, Mark Zuckerberg, and censorship accusations. Since early November, the NDX is up about 10%, while FB is unchanged.
More recently, on the morning of Dec 15, Mike alerted MPTrader members to the precarious technical setup in FB, writing: "FB is pressing on key nearest support at 269-270, which if violated and sustained will point to a confrontation with more consequential support at 264.50-265.00."
This past Tuesday FB got down to that very support level, reaching a low of 264.63.
In his Dec 15 alert, Mike had noted that a break below that level would trigger downside projections to 248-244. He continues to maintain that FB, which closed pre-Christmas at 267.01, must contain any forthcoming weakness to avert a technical break that has the potential to morph all of the price action since mid-August into a consequential top formation.
On the other hand, perhaps bullish seasonal expectations into year-end will put a floor under FB into early January? Keep an eye on resistance at 280.50, above which FB's downside technical set-up could be neutralized.
Join Mike and our MPTrader members as they navigate the twists and turns of FB, and many other stocks, ETF, indices, and commodity markets into year-end and as we enter 2021.
Eight weeks ago, Mike Paulenoff discussed the budding technical setup and upside breakout in CRWD (CrowdStrike Holdings) with our MPTraders members, writing:"CRWD has followed the bullish scenario we discussed in late August, and in fact, today (10/06/23) has thrust above 5 months of resistance to new recovery high territory at 176.32. Although my next optimal upside target zone is 190-200, the BIG picture setup points to 230-240 thereafter... Last is 174.86...
On Monday morning, November 13, 2023, a full 5 trading sessions before the approaching November Options Expiration (OPEX) (11/17/23), I posted my chart-based commentary for our members:SPY-- Considering that Friday is November Option Expiration, where are the "magnetized strike prices" as we start OPEX week? Based on my attached Hourly Chart, the magnetized strike price zone spans from 436 to 441. Should SPY take out the upside barrier of 441, then the follow-through outlier magnetized target could be as high as 450 before or on Friday.
On October 23, 2023, ten days before the November 1st FOMC meeting and policy statement, I posted the following commentary about the downward-spiraling TLT (20+ year T-bond ETF):My attached 4-hour Chart of TLT shows that the relentless and near-vertical downtrend that commenced at the beginning of August from around 100 hit a new long-term low at 81.92 this AM, positioning it in my intermediate-term optimal downside target zone from 80 to 82.
On the afternoon of September 25, Mike Paulenoff posted a warning signal to MPTraders members about the developing acute oversold condition in RTX (formerly Raytheon Technologies), writing:"RTX (formerly Raytheon Technologies) hit a new multi-month corrective low of 71.02, down 33% from the 4/10/23 post-pandemic High at 106.02. Although RTX has violated my optimal target window of 73-75, the stair-step corrective pattern off of the 4/19/23 high at 104.
On October 3, Mike Paulenoff posted the following "Heads Up!" about GLD (SPDR Gold Trust, ETF) for MPTrader members: "GLD has pressed to an important technical inflection window from 169.50 down to 166.30, from where I will be expecting corrective downside exhaustion off of the 5/04/23 high at 191.36, and new buying interest. From a nearer-term perspective, given the acute oversold but CONFIRMED Momentum reading of 17.16 an hour ago, my preferred scenario argues for another loop down that marginally violates today's low at 168.