Twitter Gives Us Both Sides of the Trade
by Mike Paulenoff
May 9, 2014 • 12:00 AM EDT
Our Twitter (TWTR) calls this week were successful on both the initial downside and the recovery rally.
On Tuesday May 6 we noted that "all roads point to a test of the lower channel line off the February high." Our chart indicated that a 1% downside penetration of the lower channel boundary would project into the 31.80/75 target zone prior to our expected recovery rally.
Indeed, Twitter, which was trading at 33.36 at the time, reached our downside target at the open on Wednesday and actually dropped below 30.
We put on a long trade at 30.80 on Wednesday and rode it for a 5% gain in 1 day (Twitter got as high as 32.98 on Thursday).
My near-term pattern work on TWTR argues that the stock is in a partially completed initial recovery rally phase that has unfinished business on the upside to a minimum target of 33.70-34.00 and an optional target of 35.50 to 37.00.
See our chart below from Thursday.
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
More Top Calls From Mike
Back on November 12, 2024, fellow MPTrader member "Rayray" wrote the following when ARCH (Archer Aviation) was trading at $4.83:Mike, as you may recall I have been an active follower of ACHR. I no longer have a position that I trade off of and am on the sidelines watching a move that I should have participated in . That said, is this the move to $9.00 that has been on the table for a while ?... My analysis: NO!...
On the morning of Tuesday, November 12, 2024, I posted the following Heads-Up to MPTrader members concerning my DIS (Disney) analysis ahead of earnings:DIS (Disney) reports earnings on Thursday morning. Technically, DIS approaches Earnings in strong near-term technical condition that argues for a positive reaction to earnings. As long as any forthcoming weakness is contained above 94.80, DIS points higher to 105.10/40, and if taken out, then to 113-115... Last is 100.25...
On September 20, 2024, fellow MPTrader member Bloom asked Mike Paulenoff to look at his chart setup in Upstart Holdings (UPST). This is what they discussed in Mike's post to our Discussion Room in its entirety:UPST (Upstart Holdings)... It is NO coincidence that when the Fed initiated its rate HIKE cycle in March 2022, it coincided with the steep, contractionary, prolonged bear phase in cloud-based AI lender UPST.
Each Earnings Season (one is in progress as we speak), I analyze my technical setups on individual stocks to see if they provide enough evidence to issue a "highly confident" directional call to MPtrader members. In other words, what is my chart work telling me about the likelihood of a bullish or bearish investor reaction to Earnings?Suppose I apply the same approach to Tuesday's presidential election.
Last Monday afternoon (October 21), Mike alerted MPTrader members to a Goldman Sachs upgrade of optical products retailer Warby Parker (WRBY) to Buy from Neutral. Goldman attached an 18.00 target price to the stock. At the time of Mike's post to members, WRBY was trading at 17.55 in reaction to the GS upgrade, up 6% from the prior close, and just 2.5% from Goldman's 12-month target price.
