Twitter Gives Us Both Sides of the Trade
by Mike Paulenoff
May 9, 2014 • 12:00 AM EDT
Our Twitter (TWTR) calls this week were successful on both the initial downside and the recovery rally.
On Tuesday May 6 we noted that "all roads point to a test of the lower channel line off the February high." Our chart indicated that a 1% downside penetration of the lower channel boundary would project into the 31.80/75 target zone prior to our expected recovery rally.
Indeed, Twitter, which was trading at 33.36 at the time, reached our downside target at the open on Wednesday and actually dropped below 30.
We put on a long trade at 30.80 on Wednesday and rode it for a 5% gain in 1 day (Twitter got as high as 32.98 on Thursday).
My near-term pattern work on TWTR argues that the stock is in a partially completed initial recovery rally phase that has unfinished business on the upside to a minimum target of 33.70-34.00 and an optional target of 35.50 to 37.00.
See our chart below from Thursday.
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
markets, plus key ETF component stocks in sectors like technology, mining, and banking.
Sign up for a Free 7-day Trial!
More Top Calls From Mike
On the afternoon of March 13, 2024, I posted the following heads-up to MPTrader members about important price action in WPM (Wheaton Precious Metals), my go-to ("favorite") name for Silver Mining within the larger Precious Metals Mining Complex:From a silver-gold perspective, let's notice that WPM strength is pushing up against its near-term resistance line in the vicinity of 45.80.
Over one month ago, on Monday morning, 9/09/24, I posted the following NVDA update for our members:My near-term pattern work makes a compelling argument that the corrective downleg from the 8/16 high at 131 is nearing downside exhaustion and completion in and around 100 (Friday's low was 100.95). That said, unless and until NVDA climbs above 106.30 to 108.
On August 27, 2024, I reviewed my near and intermediate-term technical setup on copper (gold, silver, oil) producer FCX (Freeport-McMoRan) for MPTrader members, writing:My attached Daily Chart shows the 30% correction from the May 2024 high to the August 2024 low, which my pattern work argues ended the retracement of the first upleg of a new bull phase in FCX that began at the 10/23/23 low of 33.08 and ended at the 5/20/24 high of 55.24. The August 2024 upmove from 39.08 (8/05/24) to 46.
On August 5, hours before its after-market earnings report, Mike Paulenoff posted a bullish alert on AI-juggernaut PLTR, writing:"Bottom Line Technically: As long as any forthcoming weakness on a closing basis remains above key support lodged between 19.60 and 21.50, PLTR has the right look of nearing the completion of the correction from its 7/08/24 high at 29.83, and the initiation of another advance that will extend the upside potential off of a two-year base-accumulation setup."The stock, trading at 23.
Three hours before the July Fed 31, 2024 (FOMC) meeting, I posted the following chart commentary about my technical setup work on 10-year Treasury YIELD and its actionable longer-term Treasury bond ETF, the TLT (20+ Year T-bond, ETF):Heading toward Fed Time, 10-year YIELD and TLT (20+ Year T-bond ETF) certainly appear to be anticipating lower interest rate news or innuendos from the FOMC statement (guidance) and Jay Powell in his post-meeting press conference.
