Four trades closed out in recent weeks, yielding a total return of 12%, demonstrate the way in which Mike opportunistically identifies trending sectors through a combination of technical and macro analysis, nabbing returns from their leading component stocks and ETFs.
In banking, he added the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) on June 5 at $52.73, noting: "Increasingly, my work argues that KRE completed a major correction from its March 2 high at $59.68 to its May 31 low at $51.08, which ... means that the price structure is coiled-up ahead of a thrust to the upside into a new advance within the larger upleg off of the $32.63 low in February 2016 into new high territory."
He added that "such a move also will imply that the regional banks are benefiting from the Trump growth agenda, higher rates, and from a roll-back in Dodd-Frank regulation."
Mike exited KRE this past week at $54.97 for a 4% gain.
In biotech, Mike entered the SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI) on June 1 at $69.50, reasoning that "the time has come to take a long position within 'The Handle' portion of the huge Cup and Handle base formation carved out by XBI during the past 18-20 months."
He exited four days later at $70.88, yielding a 2% profit.
See the chart Mike was viewing when he entered the trade:
Mike also closed out his Under Armour, Inc. (UAA) trade this week for an 8% return in two months, and recently completed a trade in American International Group, Inc. (AIG), gaining 2.3% in less than a week.
On Friday June 17, Mike Paulenoff posted an alert to MPTrader members about an emerging setup in AMZN:
AMZN is one name that pops out at me that should benefit from an initial and sustained correction in traditional energy and transportation costs. AMZN needs to climb above and sustain 110 for my work to generate a more confident technical signal, otherwise, I cannot rule out another loop down that tests and breaks key May-June support at 101.26 to 101.
Last Wednesday, prior to the official FOMC rate hike of 75 bps, Mike Paulenoffwarned MPTrader members about the likelihood of additional weakness in the beleaguered home builders, writing about the ITB (iShares US Home Construction ETF):
In that, neither my pattern work nor my intermediate-term Momentum gauges offer much technical confidence that ITB will be able to carve out a meaningful corrective basing area in and around 53.
Back on May 13, amid a thrust in the price of Crude Oil from $95/bbl to $112/bbl, Mike Paulenoff alerted MPTrader members to an actionable technical setup in energy producer PSX (Phillips 66), writing:
My work has been extremely friendly since the beginning of May, looking for PSX to break out of its 11-month corrective accumulation pattern that will trigger a thrust towards a potential target zone of 110-115.
On Thursday May 19, in the midst of some serious weakness and carnage in the retail sector that had equity market-watchers doubting the resiliency of the almighty US consumer, Mike Paulenoff turned MPTrader members attention to PARA (Paramount Global), writing:
For the past 5 months, we could make the technical argument that PARA has carved out an accumulation-base formation that attracts buyers every time the stock dips beneath 29.00. We can also make the case that every time the stock climbs above 36.
On March 11, with AAPL in a month-long down-leg and trading at 156.34, Mike Paulenoff posted a relatively bullish analysis for MPTrader members, writing:
I am watching AAPL more closely than usual these days, as a bellwether for the health/vulnerability of the overall market.