Anticipating GBTC's Breakout - Market Analysis for Oct 25th, 2020

by Mike Paulenoff
October 25, 2020 • 1:51 PM EDT
In his MPTrader room this past Monday, Mike Paulenoff highlighted the upside potential in Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC).
With GBTC at 13.01, he wrote that it was "pushing up to test its prior rally peak at 13.03 (10/13), which if hurdled and sustained, will point GBTC towards another confrontation with its 14-month resistance zone between 14.20 and 14.70, where powerful upside potential could be unleashed."
By Wednesday GBTC reached as high as 14.49, and went on to hit a multi-month high of 14.87 on Thursday. That was just 17 cents above Mike's initial high-end target, and a gain of 14.3% from Mike's alert.
GBTC closed at 14.32 on Friday. Is the upmove finished? Is it exhausted on the upside?
Join Mike and his MPTrader community as they monitor GBTC in the days and weeks ahead.
Mike Paulenoff is the author of MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis & trade alerts on
ETFs for precious metals, energy, currencies, and an array of equity indices and sectors, including international
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More Top Calls From Mike
On Friday June 17, Mike Paulenoff posted an alert to MPTrader members about an emerging setup in AMZN:
AMZN is one name that pops out at me that should benefit from an initial and sustained correction in traditional energy and transportation costs. AMZN needs to climb above and sustain 110 for my work to generate a more confident technical signal, otherwise, I cannot rule out another loop down that tests and breaks key May-June support at 101.26 to 101.
Last Wednesday, prior to the official FOMC rate hike of 75 bps, Mike Paulenoffwarned MPTrader members about the likelihood of additional weakness in the beleaguered home builders, writing about the ITB (iShares US Home Construction ETF):
In that, neither my pattern work nor my intermediate-term Momentum gauges offer much technical confidence that ITB will be able to carve out a meaningful corrective basing area in and around 53.
Back on May 13, amid a thrust in the price of Crude Oil from $95/bbl to $112/bbl, Mike Paulenoff alerted MPTrader members to an actionable technical setup in energy producer PSX (Phillips 66), writing:
My work has been extremely friendly since the beginning of May, looking for PSX to break out of its 11-month corrective accumulation pattern that will trigger a thrust towards a potential target zone of 110-115.
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For the past 5 months, we could make the technical argument that PARA has carved out an accumulation-base formation that attracts buyers every time the stock dips beneath 29.00. We can also make the case that every time the stock climbs above 36.
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I am watching AAPL more closely than usual these days, as a bellwether for the health/vulnerability of the overall market.